Swimming against the tide: The challenge of higher interest rates and high household debt | National Newswatch

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Swimming against the tide: The challenge of higher interest rates and high household debt | National Newswatch
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The run-up of interest rates since March, led by the Bank of Canada in a bid to tame inflation, represents a substantial economic shock, one that is now pushing the country towards a recession. The bank’s overnight, or policy, interest rate is now at 4.25 percentage points, up from 0.25 per cent in February.

As the figure below shows, today’s higher rates are still low in relative terms. Back in the 1980s, interest rates soared due to central bank efforts to stamp out 1970s inflation. Much of the Bank of Canada’s current effort stems from fears of reliving the 1970’s and 1980’s experience with inflation and interest rates.Source: Bank of Canada, Interest rates posted for selected products by the major chartered banks, https://www.bankofcanada.

Interestingly, the Bank of Canada was blasé about soaring real estate prices and cryptocurrencies in 2021. Only when consumer price inflation reared its head in 2022 did the Bank spring into action, even though by its own admission two-thirds of inflation is due to factors outside of Canada’s borders, most notably the price of oil in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and supply chain backlogs due to COVID-19.

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