The researchers caution that in a ranked choice – also known as an instant runoff – election, it’s pretty hard to vote strategically because polls are inexact.
This is a sample ranked choice ballot for the Division of Elections.
“These comments raise the question: is RCV some kind of crazy scam to rig elections?” they asked in their paper.Looking ahead, the two say it is possible to make strategic choices on a ranked choice ballot, but only if there is good pre-election polling. The detailed results of that earlier election showed that if Begich had been in a head-to-head race with Peltola or in a head-to-head race with Palin, he would have won either contest.
“It’s difficult because you essentially need really good poll data, and this Alaska House election is a good case study of that,” he said.In the Aug. 16 primary and in public opinion polls since then, Democratic candidate Patricia Chesbro has received less support than similar Democrats in prior statewide races.
A similar situation exists in the statewide race for governor, but there, the choices are less clear. Incumbent Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy was the frontrunner in August and has been the leader in opinion polls since the election. “Generally speaking, voting your actual feelings is the best bet,” he said, but if someone has doubts, break the race into head-to-head matchups.
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