Still anyone’s U.S. Senate seat despite Ryan raising four times as much as Vance

Rep. Ryan, a 10-term Democratic congressman, is outperforming J.D. Vance, a venture capitalist, in both raising money and spending it.

COLUMBUS, Ohio — Although Tim Ryan's campaign raised more than $9.1 million in its second quarter of 2022, quadrupling competitor J.D. Vance's, the coveted seat could go either way.

Much of Ryan's spending is on TV and digital advertisements, and campaign mailers and events, according to the Federal Elections Commission filings. Inside money is how much the candidate is raising and spending. This is what is reflected in Ryan's $9.1 million and Vance's $2.3 million. Incumbents typically win, but with Rob Portman not running, the seat is much more competitive, Goldberg added. Since incumbents often win, this could be skewing the data, Turcer said.

"Both polls and the amount raised, they're just temperature checks that we should not take seriously as voters," Turcer said.

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