‘Star Wars: The Rise Of Skywalker’: The Pessimistic Box Office Prediction

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‘Star Wars: The Rise Of Skywalker’: The Pessimistic Box Office Prediction
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A pessimistic box office prediction for 'Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker'

Today is September 19, 2019, meaning we are three months out from the domestic debut, counting Thursday previews, of Walt Disney’s. As I occasionally do with these “big” releases, I wanted to make pessimistic and optimistic box office projections, wherein I guestimate how the film might do if everything goes wrong or if everything goes right. This morning will be the doom-n-gloom guestimate, and I’ll follow up with the “everything’s coming up!” projection.

Before we do any math, we need to examine a few variables in play. We don’t know to what extent the online handwringing over Rian Johnson’saccurately reflected the general audience reaction. The film earned $620.18 million domestic and $1.332.5 billion worldwide, which is about average in terms of drops for a“part 1.

plays huge not just as a crowd-pleasing sequel to a surprisingly good predecessor, but as the prime holiday destination for kids, families and general audiences. Ditto Universal’s

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