Six Months From the Election, Pelosi’s Gavel Seems Secure

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Six Months From the Election, Pelosi’s Gavel Seems Secure
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The uphill struggle Republicans face to retake the House has been made more daunting by a big Democratic advantage in open seats

Speaker Nancy Pelosi looks to be in control. Photo: Michael Reynolds/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock The tense battles for control of the White House and the Senate have entered a new, six-months-out phase. But while there’s less of a media focus on the House, that battleground rages with firefights as well.

Yes, Donald Trump’s performance at the top of the ballot remains a variable that’s hard to nail down given the unprecedented nature of the sudden public health crisis and its economic consequences, with the short-term path to “normalcy” exceedingly hard to predict. But as Wasserman points out, even reelected presidents seem to have short coattails in House races:

The uphill struggle House Republicans face has been made more daunting by a big Democratic advantage in open seats: And in terms of the national dynamics, the congressional generic ballot is looking good for Democrats. The latest RealClearPolitics polling averages show Democrats up by 7.7 percent. They led by 7.3 percent on the eve of the 2018 elections, which gave the their current majority.

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