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In this presentation, Jeffrey Christian of CPM Group looks at the gold price outlook and silver’s 50% decline from its January peak. Silver is testing $60, but large investors have not rebuilt their short positions even as bullish positions have fallen sharply.
Jeff explains why this combination matters and why stronger investment buying remains essential to a sustained price growth. With gold trading near $4,161 and silver near $60.25. Jeffrey compares gold charts across three timeframes, including technical support around $3,800–$3,900, and explains why further short-term weakness remains possible. The silver market discussion focuses on CPM’s supply-and-demand framework, which measures newly refined supply against fabrication demand and treats investment purchases separately.
Jeff explains why CPM sees a silver surplus and why substantial net investment buying is needed to absorb that metal and sustain higher prices. He reviews silver exchange-traded product flows, renewed selling through August, and changes in COMEX long and short positions. Jeff then reviews U.S. GDP, consumer spending, borrowing, inflation, and the September jobs report.
He discusses why growth supported by consumer credit can conceal financial strain and questions the market’s assumption that recent data may prevent another Federal Reserve interest rate increase. is a commodities research, consulting, financialadvisory and commodities management firm providing independent research,analysis and advisory services related to commodities markets, corporate andproject finance, and the financial management of exposure to commodity orientedinvestments. We started our business in 1986 predicated on the idea that commoditiesresearch and advice is best delivered by independent experts who do not work forbanks, brokers, mining companies, or any other entity that has interests thatcould conflict with the best interests of the clients receiving the research,analysis, and advice.
All of our work is driven by fundamental commodities research and economicanalysis. As we undertake our research into individual commodities markets wegather a tremendous amount of information and develop an enormous body ofextremely high quality, unbiased analysis of the markets and the companies thatare involved with individual commodities.
The outputs of our research andanalysis take the form of research reports, specialized and targeted consultingrelated to these markets, financial advisory services ranging from corporate andproject finance structuring to equity introductions, and managing specificcommodities and investment positions for clients. CPM Group continues to demonstrate the economic value and financial worth ofsuperior research, information, and analysis. Our research is based onmicro-economic analysis of the individual components of each commodity market,wedded with a top-down macro-economic analysis of the global trends affectingthese markets.
We apply the results of that analysis to our research,consulting, and advisory services. The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only.
It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.
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