Polling data suggests of the 15 ridings on Vancouver Island, the B.C. NDP could retain 10 seats, the B.C. Greens two seats, and the B.C. Conservatives at least one seat.
Vancouver Island, which has largely been a safe haven for New Democrats and Greens for decades, is becoming competitive in several ridings, says Royal Roads professor David Black.
“We’re seeing a little bit more variety, a little bit more in the way of competitive races up and down the island,” Black said. Glen Sanford, NDP regional director for Vancouver Island, said there’s a lot of close constituencies, with at least four three-way splits in the south Island. “One of the messages that we’re hearing back from people we’re talking to on the doorstep is they don’t want John Rustad, they want to continue the forward progress that they’ve seen with David Eby and the B.C. NDP.”Green Party Leader Sonia Furstenau, who is running against NDP incumbent and cabinet minister Grace Lore and B.C.
Polling suggests “unsurprisingly” that Green candidate and retired lawyer Rob Botterell is likely to win Saanich North and the Islands, Black said. Botterell is running against Conservative and lawyer David Busch, Independent and small-business owner Amy Haysom, and B.C. NDP and civil servant Sarah Riddell. “That’s the safest provincial Green riding, bar none,” Black said. It was held by Olsen who decided for personal reasons not to run again.
Meanwhile, in the North Island riding, NDP incumbent Michele Babchuk is up against stiff competition from B.C. Conservative Anna Kindy, a physician, and Green Nic Dedeluk, a marine biologist.
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