Russia's Defeats in Ukraine Have Strategists Worried About Moscow's Next Move

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Russia's Defeats in Ukraine Have Strategists Worried About Moscow's Next Move
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Moscow now faces a “stark choice,” according to one strategist: face humiliating defeat and sue for peace, or resort to more extreme measures.

"The military story for the Kremlin is becoming worse," Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group president said in a note Monday."To the extent that continues, it pressures Putin into calling for a mobilization — likely a partial one but still a politically and socially costly move for the Russian president at home, that will force him into declaring war with Ukraine, and tacitly admitting that Russia is facing military problems," he said in emailed comments.

"If there's a likely near-term change in the russia war going forward, it's escalatory and not a negotiated breakthrough."Ukraine's victories on the battlefield in recent days, and its ability to reclaim dozens of towns and villages in the Kharkiv region, puts Russia on the back foot. It is now scrambling to defend its territory in Donetsk and Luhansk, where two pro-Russian"republics" are located, in the Donbas in eastern Ukraine.

Ahead of these counterattacks in the northeast, Kyiv had heavily promoted a counteroffensive in the south of Ukraine — leading Russia to redeploy troops there.Firefighters of the State Emergency Service work to put out the fire that erupted after a Russian missile attack at an energy facility in the Kharkiv region of northeastern Ukraine.

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