There has been 'intense combat' in the south-central Donetsk region, but little territory has changed hands, Britain's military intelligence said.
According to the ISW, reporting from critical frontline areas throughout eastern and southern Ukraine indicates that operations on both sides are"currently bogged down by heavy rain and resulting heavy mud."
But temperature are forecast to drop across Ukraine in the coming week. That will"likely freeze the ground and expedite the pace of fighting as mobility increases for both sides," analysts wrote in the report. Ukrainian soldiers train in an abandoned brick building on November 23, 2022 in Sloviansk, Donetsk region, before heading back to the frontline against Russian forces.It says temperatures in northeastern Ukraine, such as along the Svatove-Kreminna line, will drop to near or below freezing between November 28 and December 4.
The ISW noted that it would likely take a few days of consistent freezing temperatures for the ground to harden, meaning conditions are likely to be set to allow operations to increase from the weekend beginning December 3 and into the following week. "It is unclear if either side is actively planning or preparing to resume major offensive or counter-offensive operations at that time, but the meteorological factors that have been hindering such operations will begin lifting," ISW analysts concluded.
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