OPINION | Get your head out of the past—there’s a vital common interest between the 21st century’s two superpowers.
For these reasons, the U.S. and our allies have wisely sought to reach out to China to help constrain Russia’s behavior in Ukraine. The success of that effort to date—which has included discouraging China from providing arms to Russia to assist with its invasion—shows a recognition of that shifting power dynamic in this new era.
Evocative of the worst days of the Cold War as Biden’s remarks were, they should not produce the kind of eyeball-to-eyeball confrontation that marked the Cuban Missile Crisis and the darkest moments of that period. That is because not only is Russia comparatively weaker and the West comparatively stronger, but also because Russia is clearly the junior partner in its evolving relationship with China.
Almost certainly, reaction to Congress will trigger the significant faction among U.S. officials, analysts, and commentators who view the future of America’s relationship with China as a second Cold War. Again, such a 20th-century framing is a mistake. As the past week has shown, and the next one will underscore, the future demands we set aside the models and biases of the past. That future will not be less complex but it will be differently complex. Finding a way to manage a relationship with a new rival with whom we share many interdependencies is one complexity we must master. Understanding that rival’s needs and relationships with the rest of the world is another.
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