A new study suggests that as Earth’s climate continues to warm and the planet’s ice sheets continue to melt, seas could inundate cities around the world, displacing almost 200,000,000 people by the end of the century. - NBCNewsMACH
Using a standardized interview technique called structured expert judgment, they asked 22 climate experts to predict the ice sheets’ effect on sea level rise under two possible scenarios. In one, temperatures rose by 2 degrees Celsius , the target detailed in the, the U.N.’s plan to combat climate change, from 1800 to 2100. In the other, temperatures rose by 5 degrees C , which the scientists described as “consistent with unchecked emissions growth” over the same period of time.
The researchers acknowledged that structured expert judgment alone isn’t enough to pinpoint sea level rise and that there’s only about a 5 percent chance that the two-meter scenario will come to pass. But, they argued, efforts to protect against rising seas, like sea walls, should take the worst-case scenario into account.
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