MLB predictions, picks, and odds for Boston Red Sox at Minnesota Twins on 5-3. MLB best bets and free picks.
Wilyer Abreu has been crushing right-handing pitching this season, and we expect the platooning outfielder to shine when he faces a promising matchup at Target Field. Read more in our Red Sox vs. Twins betting picks.Even with 10 consecutive wins, the Twins are still fourth in the surprisingly competitive AL Central, and Friday’s game won’t be a walk in the park. Boston is 11-5 on the highway, and Minnesota starter Chris Paddack has struggled to begin the season.
Returning to Paddack, a seven-inning gem against the basement-dwelling White Sox skews his stat line, and he hasn’t held up against formidable offenses. With Boston sporting a ninth-ranked 107 wRC+ and fifth-ranked .172 ISO against righties, I’m expecting Abreu and the rest of the heart of the order to fill up the boxscore.Continuing with the Paddack fade, I think we’re landing a fair price on the Boston moneyline given the pitching mismatch.
There’s also an edge with these +400 odds because DraftKings has this same-game parlay priced at +335. The difference checks out as a positive expected value of 21%.It isn’t surprising to see a slight move to the Minnesota side of this moneyline, with the Twins rolling along a 10-game winning streak.opened this game with Minnesota listed at -109, and the Twins are priced at -120 as of Friday afternoon.
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