The battle between Danielle Smith’s United Conservative Party and Rachel Notley’s left-leaning NDP is expected to be extremely close, pollsters say
Polls opened in Canada’s main oil-producing province Alberta on Monday in a tight election race that is expected to have a significant bearing on Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s climate goals, which are already seen as lagging global peers.
The result could reshape Trudeau’s climate agenda if the UCP wins, making it harder for Canada to meet its goal of cutting emissions 40-45 per cent below 2005 levels by the end of this decade. BMO Capital Markets analyst Jared Dziuba said both parties are committed to decarbonization, but the pace and costs of the effort vary.
The latest survey from polling firm Leger shows the right-wing UCP slightly ahead province-wide, backed by 49 per cent of decided voters versus 46 per cent for NDP. However, the NDP holds a modest lead in Alberta’s corporate oil capital Calgary, a key battleground where a number of seats could go to either party, according to a poll from ThinkHQ Public Affairs.
In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, health care has become a big issue in Alberta, while affordability has emerged as another key voter concern due to inflation.
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