‘Randomness and chaos’: The invisible, unpredictable forces behind fatal rockfall

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‘Randomness and chaos’: The invisible, unpredictable forces behind fatal rockfall
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Scientist Daniel Shugar says images of the aftermath of Thursday's deadly rockslide in Banff National Park provide evidence of its cause

Tourists walk around Bow Lake on Friday, June 20, 2025, near Bow Glacier Falls, seen in background, where a rock slide, light grey area on cliff face, killed two hikers and injured three more Thursday, north of Lake Louise, Alta., in Banff National Park. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Jeff McIntosh Jeff McIntoshScientist Daniel Shugar says images of the aftermath of Thursday’s deadly rockslide in Banff National Park provide evidence of its cause — water flowing through the interior of the mountain.

“That lake has existed since 1955,” he said. “So over the last 70 years, the water from this lake glacier retreating has been trying to go downhill through the cracks. It essentially provided the pressure to dislodge the rock.” Experts said that while evidence of previous rockfalls is easy to see, calculating exactly when they will occur in future can’t be done.

The rockfall occurred in a scenic area close to a popular trail. Looking ahead, Elmo said officials should put up a notice in the area, warning hikers to “minimize the time” spent in that location. “Predicting exactly where one is going to occur, unless you have some prior indication that something was going on, would be very tough.” he said.Thursday’s slide involved “people being kind of in the wrong place at the wrong time,” said Clague.

“And particularly happening at that time of day when there were people there was extremely bad luck.”

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