Project Impact: 'Disease intelligence' and how the CIA traced epidemics out of Cold War Asia

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Project Impact: 'Disease intelligence' and how the CIA traced epidemics out of Cold War Asia
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When a new flu strain emerged in Hong Kong, a CIA program 'went global.'

To monitor the flu’s progression, Project IMPACT folded in an ongoing CIA effort known as BLACKFLAG, which sought to"computerize disease information and derive trends, cycles and predictions."

"The emergence of a new strain [of influenza] occurs every 10-15 years and together with rapid transportation, and in the absence of specific vaccines, leads us to believe that the disease may cause extensive outbreaks throughout the world in the coming months," the center said, according to the CIA study.

A lab assistant inoculates fertile eggs with Hong Kong influenza virus at a drug company in West Point, Pa., Nov. 20, 1968. This is one step in the production of the much needed flu vaccine. With that data and by monitoring reports of sickness and military requests for medicine, the CIA determined that"incapacitation rates ranged from about 40 to 70 percent and there was very good evidence that except for the isolation and quarantine of patients, no capability existed to specifically protect their military personnel by mass vaccinations."

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