Canadians will be watching closely at how Mr. Poilievre’s party performs, and if it increases its share of the vote
He said the by-election results will be a sign of whether the Tories are gaining ground in preparation for the next general election, much like a school “pop quiz” is an indication of how someone might do on a final exam.Mr. Nanos said voters feel more like “free agents” while voting in by-elections because the outcome will not affect who forms a government.
Pollster Quito Maggi, president of Mainstreet Research, said the by-elections were “the first major test” for Mr. Poilievre and his team, as well as his party’s campaign strategy and operations. There have not been four federal by-elections held on the same day since 2017. Mr. Maggi said “the Liberals still have a great ground game.”
Mr. Poilievre’s Conservatives face complications in two safe Tory seats which could affect the result.Oxford, Mr. MacKenzie, who is retiring, has voiced his public support for local realtor David Hilderley, who is seeking the Liberal nomination.
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