The saga has entered its eighth month as commissioner George Kliavkoff seeks a media rights agreement.
Seven-and-a-half months into its existential crisis, the Pac-12 doesn’t have a media rights contract, hasn’t decided whether to expand and is offering public pronouncements of unity from the university presidents — all while rumors of its pending demise are rampant.And in many respects, nothing has changed for the conference since those roiling weeks that followed the announced departures of USC and UCLA to the Big Ten.Then as now, expansion is a distinct possibility.
But despite all the events of the past seven months that seemingly have nudged the Pac-12’s Doomsday Clock toward midnight, the myriad forces at work in realignment still point toward the schools moving forward together. That’s up from 4.5 points last summer, immediately after the thunderbolt from L.A. But at no time in the past seven months has the number exceeded 5.5 points, which carries an implied probability of approximately 65 percent.Why? Because the threats and obstacles to Pac-12 survival currently in the news have been baked into the line.
And even though Big Ten commissioner Kevin Warren, the primary proponent of further raids, left his post for a gig with the Chicago Bears …Here’s why: As the Power Five landscape appeared to move in the Pac-12’s favor, time worked against the conference.
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