Opinion | Yes, Canada’s economy is slowing, but thanks to ‘labour hoarding,’ job growth will continue

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Opinion | Yes, Canada’s economy is slowing, but thanks to ‘labour hoarding,’ job growth will continue
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Opinion: Even though the economy has been in slowdown since last fall, employment levels remain unusually high. And they are bound to remain higher than is typical of a recession, writes David Olive.

Every day brings news of more layoffs. At what point does a remarkably resilient Canadian labour market finally buckle with employers cutting costs ahead of a widely expected recession?To be sure, the rate of job creation will slow this year from 2022’s near-record levels, and there will be layoff announcements throughout the year.

“The surge in employment and rise in the labour force make this an incredibly positive ,” James Orlando of TD Economics said in aTrue, last year’s second half saw weakness in job creation in construction, transportation, and cultural industries. But those same sectors saw strong job growth in December.

It’s a market vulnerable to significant employer cost-cutting but still marked by severe labour shortages. Big Tech accounts for the largest of the recent layoffs, announced by household names like Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Ottawa’s Shopify and so on. Meanwhile, Canada’s digital economy is expected to employ almost 2.3 million people just two years from now.

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