Opinion: If Trump were actually convicted, the 2020 election would proceed under a cloud of illegitimacy. Tens of millions of Trump voters wouldn’t accept the result
Tens of millions of Trump voters wouldn’t accept the result. They’d see it as an inside job to deny the incumbent president a chance to run for reelection, without a single voter having a direct say. The GOP would be brought to its knees by internal bloodletting, a prospect Democrats surely would welcome, especially given that it would assuredly deliver them the presidency.
Congressional oversight itself is, normally, thought of as a form of accountability. The House has held hearings that exposed, sometimes in vivid fashion, the Trump-Giuliani Ukraine scheme. Trump has seen officials working in his own government—indeed his own ambassadors—publicly criticize his conduct, and polls show that most of the public believes he did something wrong.
Trump would have trumpeted such an investigation as proof of Biden corruption, but it’s not clear this would have added anything material to his already fulsome allegations of Biden corruption. In the two prior impeachment trials, no senators of the president’s own party voted to convict and this impeachment is likely to be the same.
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