Opinion: Trump doesn’t need Pennsylvania to win reelection
By Henry Olsen Henry Olsen Columnist focusing on politics, populism, and American conservative thought Email Bio Follow Columnist May 21 at 4:09 PM President Trump’s rally in Pennsylvania on Monday has rekindled speculation that in order to retain the White House, Trump must win the Keystone State in 2020. Former vice president Joe Biden, who was born in the state, has emphasized his ability to win it back for the Democrats, going so far as to locate his campaign headquarters in Philadelphia.
Arizona flipped blue in two races, one for U.S. Senate and the other for Arizona’s secretary of state. Democrats also picked up a House seat and a number of state legislative seats. They did this with support from formerly Republican voters in the well-off, highly educated suburbs of Phoenix and Tucson. Combined with strong backing from the state’s burgeoning Latino population, it was just enough to turn a state that Republicans have dominated for decades into one that is up for grabs in 2020.
If Trump can carry Arizona and the rest of the Romney states, he starts with 206 electoral votes. He has the chance to grab 53 more by winning Florida, Ohio and Iowa — all states that Republican candidates for governor carried in 2018. Exit polls also reveal that Trump boasts a job approval rating of more than 50 percent in Florida and Ohio. Trump might have a race on his hands, but he looks to be the favorite in both states.
Wisconsin has shifted to the right in the past decade. Gov. Scott Walker nearly won reelection in 2018, losing by only 1 point. The GOP carried the statewide popular vote for the state assembly and U.S. House, and a conservative judicial candidate won a statewide race this April despite being massively outspent.
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