With the NDP shredding its partnership with the Liberals, the PM faces the challenge of leading a tired government into a critical election
Anyone who wagered that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau would step down before the next election can pay up today.Trudeau is suddenly frozen in place and into the unofficial phase of an imminent election campaign. Even his party’s detractors have to walk it back and zip it shut. As of Wednesday, it’s too late for a leadership race – no matter the negatives, the face of the party for the last 11 years and three elections is the one it will offer Canadians again.
What had been clear for some time was that any political dividend for the ideas arising from the NDP’s supply and confidence agreement with the Liberals was mainly yielding benefits for Trudeau’s party – even if they’re meagre ones, even if they’re clearly pirated. The people appear not to be heeding his call. Polls for both opposition factions are worthy of sympathy: around 25 per cent for the Liberals, around 17 per cent for the NDP, the same 42-per-cent total Conservatives enjoy under Pierre Poilievre. If an election were held today, a prime minister Poilievre would be part of a roughly 210-MP caucus in what will be a 343-seat House of Commons. In B.C.
A serious strategic consequence of the Trudeau-Singh deal has been that the Liberals were hauled beyond their traditional guardrails of the mushy middle. It will be somewhat simpler to offer Canadians a moderate government if it can shed orange from its wardrobe in favour of bright red. Then again, there’s that leader.
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