Oil prices may have already found a floor for 2023: RBC analysts - BNN Bloomberg

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Oil prices may have already found a floor for 2023: RBC analysts - BNN Bloomberg
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Oil prices might have already hit a floor for the year, according to Royal Bank of Canada analysts Helima Croft and Michael Tran, who anticipate commodity prices will get a boost from China’s economic re-opening.

“We remain constructive on the fundamental framework, and in fact, we would not be the least bit surprised if the lows of the year end up being the US$72/bbl print that we saw three weeks ago on the second trading day of the year,” Croft and Tran said in a note to clients on Sunday.

“As such, commodity investors see the metals trade as the first derivative of the re-opening, while individual consumer-linked commodities tied to societal behaviour have lagged the space, for now, but will play catch up once societal behaviour shows a steadfast degree of strength,” it said in the report.

“Following several long years of lockdown, the COVID-19 fear factor is likely high, meaning that a rebound in consumer behaviour is potentially subject to fits and starts, particularly if COVID­-19 case counts and hospitalizations spike post Lunar New Year,” they said.

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