Ocean temperatures in Great Barrier Reef hit highest level in 400 years over past decade, study finds

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Ocean temperatures in Great Barrier Reef hit highest level in 400 years over past decade, study finds
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During that time, between 2016 and 2024, the Great Barrier Reef suffered mass coral bleaching events

A school of blue-green chromid fish swim above corals on Moore Reef, off the coast of Queensland in eastern Australia, on Nov. 13, 2022.Ocean temperatures in the Great Barrier Reef hit their highest level in 400 years over the past decade, according to researchers who warned that the reef likely won’t survive if planetary warming isn’t stopped.

Researchers from Melbourne University and other universities in Australia, in a paper published Wednesday in the journal Nature, were able to compare recent ocean temperatures to historical ones by using coral skeleton samples from the Coral Sea to reconstruct sea surface temperature data from 1618 to 1995. They coupled that with sea surface temperature data from 1900 to 2024.

“The reef is in danger and if we don’t divert from our current course, our generation will likely witness the demise of one of those great natural wonders,” said Benjamin Henley, the study’s lead author and a lecturer of sustainable urban management at the University of Melbourne. “If you put all of the evidence together ... heat extremes are occurring too often for those corals to effectively adapt and evolve.

Even if global warming is kept under the Paris Agreement’s goal, which scientists say Earth is almost guaranteed to cross, 70 per cent to 90 per cent of corals across the globe could be threatened, the study’s authors said. As a result, future coral reefs would likely have less diversity in coral species – which has already been happening as the oceans have grown hotter.

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