Ontario is reporting a slight increase in the number of people hospitalized with COVID-19 from one week ago but other indicators, including case counts and the positivity rate on PCR tests, are continuing to decline.
The Ontario Science Advisory Table has previously estimated that community transmission of the virus likely peaked earlier this month at around 100,000 new cases a day, however hospitalizations are considered a lagging indicator and could continue to rise into May.
The hospitalization occupancy numbers are actually down from recent days when more than 1,600 people were in hospital with COVID-19, however because many hospitals don’t upload data to the ministry over the weekend the numbers released on Mondays are typically an undercount and should only be compared to the beginning of the previous week.
“You have to be very careful here because this doesn’t mean the pandemic is over or this wave is over,” he said. “It actually means the opposite. It means there are more infections now than at any other point during this wave. But on the positive side it means we are closer to coming down the other side of the mountain and that is a great sign.
The latest data suggests that there have been average of 3,134 new cases of COVID-19 confirmed by the province through PCR testing over the last seven days. That is compared to a seven-day average of 3,417 new cases as of April 18.
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