A recent poll suggests that Progressive Conservative Leader Tim Houston's decision to call an early election in Nova Scotia is paying off, as the party maintains a comfortable lead. The poll also indicates that the real battle for second place will be between the Liberals and the NDP.
A recent poll found Nova Scotia Liberal Leader Zach Churchill and NDP Leader Claudia Chender were not well known around the province. A Dalhousie University political scientist spoke to Global News about how this impacts the final stretch of the election campaign. Polls suggest Progressive Conservative Leader Tim Houston ’s decision to call an early vote will pay off and the real battle will be between the Liberals and NDP for second place.
The Progressive Conservatives are seeking a second consecutive mandate Tuesday after sweeping the Liberals from power in August 2021. Tory Leader Tim Houston called the snap election on Oct. 27 citing the need for a fresh mandate and ignoring his government’s election law. In a recent interview, Alex Marland, a political scientist at Acadia University, said the final result is shaping up to be what Houston hoped for when he called the election. Marland said several factors were at play in Houston’s political calculus to go early. “He was ahead in the polls and there was the lack of public attention or excitement or enthusiasm for an election coming against the backdrop of all the attention paid to the U.S. election, and of course there were (Nova Scotia) municipal elections,” said Marland. “The fact it was a snap election caught the other parties off guard and made it harder for them to organize.” He said the result has been an absence of “interest, anger or motivation” on the part of the electorate. “I think that ultimately benefits the Progressive Conservatives,” said Marland. A Narrative Research poll released Wednesday put the Tories comfortably ahead with 44 per cent support. The NDP were second at 28 per cent and the Liberals third with 24 per cent. The survey of 800 adult Nova Scotians between Nov. 4 and 17 is considered accurate within 3.5 percentage points, 95 times out of 100
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