Move over Iowa, your moment is done.
Published 1:50 PM EST Feb 7, 2020Now that the state's disastrous caucus night is in the past, the race for the Democratic nomination has arrived in New Hampshire, which holds its first-in-the-nation primary Tuesday.
But while that dream scenario might be dead, Sanders still has an opportunity for a decisive win in New Hampshire. Sanders won New Hampshire in the 2016 presidential primary by a whopping 22 percentage points. With a crowded Democratic field this year, no one expects him to win by that margin next week.
And while the dust hasn’t totally settled, it appears he will finish at least in the top two, if not maybe first in total state delegate equivalents by the slimmest of margins. The feat has solidified Buttigieg as a true contender, something that seemed improbable a year ago. In Iowa, Buttigieg found a middle lane with the segment of Iowa caucusgoers seemingly wary of the more liberal policies of Sanders and Warren but seeking a fresh face and an outsider, the opposite of the establishment Biden. It appears Buttigieg enjoyed a late surge and outperformed his polling.
Although he does not enjoy the neighbor advantage of Sanders and Warren, Buttigieg has a strong ground organization in New Hampshire and has impressed with the size of his crowds here. He picked up one of the state’s biggest endorsements last month in U.S. Rep. Annie Kuster.Who will win New Hampshire? Unsure Democratic voters are watching Iowa with an eye on beating Trump
But with 97% of precincts reporting, it appeared Warren might have won none of Iowa’s 99 counties, making her the only top-tier candidate who did not. Even fifth-place Klobuchar won some counties.Warren entered the presidential primary last year with high expectations in New Hampshire, which overlaps with the Boston media market, where she is most well-known. Past Massachusetts senators who have won the Democratic nomination have won the Granite State on their path to victory.
New Hampshire does have a history of surprises. It famously made Bill Clinton the “Comeback Kid” when he finished second place during a turbulent stretch of his 1992 campaign. And just when it looked like Barack Obama had a straight shot to the nomination with his 2008 win in Iowa, New Hampshire Democrats gave the victory to Hillary Clinton instead.
But Biden, who has for months led national polls, struggled so mightily that he could risk losing some centrist voters to the rising Buttigieg and billionaire former New York Mayor Mike Bloomberg, who is sitting out the first four states to focus on Super Tuesday.
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