New modelling shows COVID-19 transmission under control, but risk of outbreaks remains high

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New modelling shows COVID-19 transmission under control, but risk of outbreaks remains high
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One of Canada’s top doctors says modelling shows the transmission of the coronavirus is under control across the country, yet relaxation of public health protocols could lead to severe outbreaks.

Deputy Chief Public Health Officer Dr. Howard Njoo says data points to a steady decrease in both the number and severity of COVID-19 cases since the peak of the pandemic in Canada in late April.

"I think we’ve done an excellent job. We’re now at a place in Canada that where most of the cases we’re finding are actually linked to a known source so I think in terms of a classic public health practice, local health authorities are able to get on top of cases," he said. However, outbreaks at long-term care homes remain the greatest sources of virus spread, followed by hospitals and correctional facilities.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau set the stage for the modelling update during a COVID-19 briefing with reporters earlier in the day. There he reinforced that while overall cases of the coronavirus in Canada are declining, some communities remain vulnerable, namely those in long-term care facilities and working on farms.

Ontario Premier Doug Ford and Trudeau have underlined their concern about this specific sector and demanded that Ontario farm owners establish better living conditions and safety protocols for their workers. After Mexico temporarily halted as many as 5,000 workers from coming to Canada, the two countries settled on a deal to improve inspections and testing.

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