New analysis of temperatures around the world in 2021 indicates that at current rates, the Earth will have warmed by 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial times in 2033.
The center estimated that 2022 would be “similar to 2021 or slightly warmer.” Despite being the sixth hottest year on record, 2021 was relatively cool owing to La Niña—the cold phase of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation, an irregular climate phenomenon that takes place over the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean.
. NASA noted that in 2021, the world was “about 1.1 degrees Celsius warmer than it was in the late 19th century, when the Industrial Revolution was underway and weather stations were popping up around the world.” The cost of such rapid warming is already being paid in the form of increasingly extreme weather events. This week NOAA revealed that such disasters, with 20 weather disasters causing economic losses totaling $1 billion. That compares to an average of 7.4 annual billion-dollar disasters since 1980.
At a briefing Thursday, Gavin Schmidt, director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, told reporters: “We’re seeing global warming … having impacts directly on weather extremes the heat waves in Western Canada last summer, changes in coastal flooding, and changes in intense precipitation. All of these things are now being more and more strongly tied to the fact that we have warmed the planet by more than a degree Celsius over the last 100 years.
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