Community transmission of COVID-19 may have peaked but new modelling from Ontario’s science table is warning hospital occupancy is “likely to continue to rise for some time” and could approach the lev
els experienced during the height of the fifth wave of the pandemic this past winter.
The scientists say that in a more pessimistic scenario it is possible more than 4,000 people will be hospitalized with COVID-19 by May, equalling the peak reached in mid-January. The most likely scenario would see about 500 patients in intensive care with COVID, down from a high of 626 in late January.
The latest projections paint a much more alarming picture than modelling released by the table last month, which estimated there would be about 800 COVID patients in hospital by May.
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