New Alberta poll suggests UCP's lead has shrunk, but it's still headed for majority - Macleans.ca

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New Alberta poll suggests UCP's lead has shrunk, but it's still headed for majority - Macleans.ca
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Rachel Notley and the NDP remain far behind in Calgary, where they needs votes for any shot at retaining power, according to a Pollara survey

Jason Kenney’s United Conservative Party heads into the Alberta campaign’s final days with a single-digit lead that keeps it on track to form a majority government, according to a poll conducted for Maclean’s.

Province-wide, the United Conservatives have support of 45 per cent of decided or leaning voters, compared to 38 per cent for the NDP, the poll suggests. Rachel Notley’s party is the top choice among 56 per cent of voters in Edmonton—which she swept in her 2015 victory—double the UCP’s 28 per cent. But despite Notley spending most of the campaign—and the entire final week—stumping in Alberta’s biggest city, Calgary has not embraced the NDP.

The Pollara-Maclean’s poll was an online survey among a randomly selected, reliable sample. While traditional margins of error cannot be applied to online panel surveys, a probability sample of 1,005 Albertans would have a margin of error of +/-3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

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