Napa County's economy is unlikely to return to its pre-pandemic growth rate in the next two years as the county grapples with global economic instability and the lingering effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, a Sonoma State University economist said Tuesday.
The economic environment in Napa County is unlikely to match pre-pandemic levels until after the 2024 election at the earliest, according to Sonoma State economics professor Robert Eyler, who presented an economic outlook to the county's Board of Supervisors.
"The business side is what's killing California in terms of getting back to pre-pandemic levels of visitors," Eyler said."We just have not had the business demand to come to California." Napa County's long-term future will likely be determined in part by how San Francisco's economy shifts long-term, Eyler said, as the fate of the city's status as a business hub should become clear in the next 12-18 months.
One of the county's most vital industries, leisure and hospitality, has also regained nearly all of its pre-pandemic employment, lagging behind January 2020 levels by just 1.5 percent in December 2022.
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