Morning Update: Hezbollah, Iran and what’s next in the Middle East

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Morning Update: Hezbollah, Iran and what’s next in the Middle East
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Also in today’s edition: Ontario’s big dig and TikTok’s new restaurant critics

Good morning. Iran has taken a calculated stand so far in the Israel - Hezbollah conflict – more on that below, along with Ontario’s big plan for an even bigger tunnel and TikTok’s new restaurant critics. But first:across Lebanon ’s southern border. Hezbollah attempted to strike Tel Aviv yesterday, while Israel said it attacked roughly 300 targets.

in Lebanon, how much longer will Iran remain on the sidelines? To better understand Iran’s calculations, I called Thomas Juneau, an associate professor of public and international affairs at the University of Ottawa who specializes in security in the Middle East. Here’s what he had to say.The relationship is a symbiotic one. Iran primarily provides military support, but it goes beyond that: It’s a very close and integrated political relationship.

Israel’s army chief just told troops to prepare for a possible ground invasion in Lebanon. What would that mean? Israel’s missile capacity and air defences are vastly superior to Hezbollah’s. But once you get into a ground war, Israel is at risk of becoming bogged down for a long time. That’s when the damage to Lebanon – its institutions, its people, its economy – becomes much more serious, and that’s where, politically, it becomes extremely explosive for Israel. Israel has painful memories of its occupation of southern Lebanon from 1982 to 2000.

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