Morning bid: Nvidia aces Fed, tense Taiwan and UK poll

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Morning bid: Nvidia aces Fed, tense Taiwan and UK poll
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Yet another quarterly earnings beat from AI-chip behemoth Nvidia catapulted Wall St stock futures higher again on Thursday - batting away hawkish Federal...

Yet another quarterly earnings beat from AI-chip behemoth Nvidia catapulted Wall St stock futures higher again on Thursday - batting away hawkish Federal Reserve meeting minutes, military tension around Taiwan and news of a July UK election.

And the ongoing rise of Wall Street to ever higher records has seen implied equity volatility crater, with the VIX "fear index" plumbing its lowest since November 2019 on Thursday at just 11.54. While there were signs from its latest meeting minutes on Wednesday that some hawkish policymakers were willing to lift rates again if necessary, not least due to a loosening of financial conditions evident in surging stocks, the impact was muted as the meeting was before the softer April inflation data.As a result U.S. Treasury yields ticked up only modestly, with rates markets now homing in on weekly jobless numbers and May business surveys later on Thursday for guidance.

Two-month implied volatility for the euro/sterling pair popped up half a point to more than 4% for the first time in a month. On the data front, euro zone May business surveys showed activity expanded at its fastest pace in a year this month - while UK equivalents slowed.Geopolitical tensions kept investors nervous as China's military started two days of "punishment" drills held in five areas around Taiwan just days after Taiwan President Lai Ching-te took office.

The former president, in a typically loud post on his social media platform Truth Social, claimed that FBI agents had been authorized to use ‘deadly force’ during the raid of his Florida propertyDave Sanders/Pool via ReutersDonald Trump’s defense team rested their case on Tuesday after putting on what The New York Times described as a “minimal defense.”The Times likely did not intend any disparagement of Trump’s defense with its wording.

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