Canadian deal-making activity has been subdued since the recent peak in early 2022, with third-quarter activity coming in well below the most recent 10-year average
Protectionism under a second Trump administration may end up spurring more deal-making in Canada , experts say, as businesses prioritize maintaining access to the U.S. market.
Mr. Trump has also pledged to embark on a widespread deregulation campaign. Because a lower regulatory burden raises the odds of approval for corporate mergers and acquisitions over all, investors have been betting heavily on an imminent M&A surge. “For a lot of the mid-market companies, which is the vast majority of the Canadian marketplace, the regulatory and protectionist measures wouldn’t impact those businesses as much,” Mr. Ng said. “I think a lot of that is really just going to impact the U.S. M&A market more than Canada.”
“You typically see a dip in the third quarter, which we saw, and then an uptick in the first quarter of the new year once parties adjust to the new political landscape,” Sherri Altshuler, co-leader of the capital markets group at Aird & Berlis LLP, said in an interview. “There is a lot of data on that, where you see a slowdown leading up to Q3 and then an uptick in the New Year.”
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