Projects have what are called fat-tail risks and results. There's a lot more variation at the extremes than for other things like human height.
is a book co-authored by Bent Flyvbjerg and Dan Gardner that will be published early in February. The book explores the methods and strategies used to successfully plan, execute, and deliver large, complex projects such as infrastructure and transportation. It provides insights on how to overcome the common challenges and pitfalls that can occur in these types of projects.
The book is based on extensive research and data analysis, and includes examples and case studies to illustrate the key concepts and strategies discussed. The authors also present a set of heuristics, or rules of thumb, that can be used to simplify and improve decision-making in large projects. The book is aimed at project managers, executives, and anyone interested in the planning and delivery of large-scale projects.
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