A new Datafolha poll shows Lula up 47% to 32%. Four other recent polls showed him leading by between 7 and 12 points.
Bolsonaro at a motorcycle rally in Salvador in July. Photo: Arisson Marinho/AFP via Getty
The key date to watch is Sept. 7, the 200th anniversary of Brazil's independence, when Bolsonaro has called on his supporters to take to the streets.The far-right leader declared at a similar rally last year that only God could remove him from power. The rally fizzled out before some ardent supporters followed through on plans to storm the Supreme Court.
Lula was barred from running against Bolsonaro in 2018 due to a corruption conviction, which was later annulled. "I'm returning so we can take our country back," he declared.in poverty during a presidential tenure that coincided with a commodities boom. Mauricio Moura, a pollster and founder of IDEIA Big Data, expects him to narrow the gap as the remaining undecided voters make up their minds.
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