The Cavaliers and Knicks face off tonight in a likely first-round preview, but Julius Randle's absence means a lot more to the Knicks than this spread might suggest, as our NBA picks explain.
The Over/Under is currently set at 220.5. Given the context of the match, there are several factors that suggest this game is likely to go Under that total.
With Randle, the Knicks' leading scorer, out of the lineup and the Cavs boasting the top-ranked defense in the NBA, it's reasonable to expect a lower-scoring affair. The absence of Randle will undoubtedly impact the Knicks' offensive production, making it difficult for them to rack up points against Cleveland's stingy defense.
Recent trends also support the Under in this matchup. The Under is 4-0 in the Knicks' last four games overall and 4-1 in the Cavaliers' last five games when playing on 2 days’ rest. While Jarrett Allen's injury absence will have some effect on the Cavs' defense, it's likely to be mitigated by Randle's absence on the Knicks' side. The Knicks may struggle to capitalize on Allen's absence, as Obi Toppin is expected to continue playing as a spot-up shooter on the perimeter, rather than utilizing his strengths as a pick-and-roll player and slasher as he did in college.
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