A smart thermometer company's database of users' temperature readings has become a strong leading indicator of COVID-19 outbreaks across the country. “The health care system doesn't see mildly symptomatic spread. We do.” hereandnow
The thermometer was developed eight years ago to track illnesses like seasonal flu. The data is uploaded immediately after people use the thermometer and is available for free to scientists, public officials and the people who use the device.
Now that many states are reopening, Singh says Kinsa data is able to show high transmission levels in places that are now coronavirus hotspots, including Arizona.Kinsa real-time disease transmission compared to expected Rt for this time of year. Kinsa subtracts out the expected Rt on a given day to estimate atypical Rt. Periods of unexpectedly low Rt are observed, driven by social distancing in April , coincident with re-opening and surges in COVID-19 case counts.
The spikes that Kinsa data documented happened more than nine days before positive COVID-19 cases increased in those states. Singh says Kinsa data saw the temperatures go up before people got tested. In the days between worsening symptoms and seeing a medical professional, the sick person could have spread it far and wide, he says.
Last week, Kinsa data was showing rises in Louisiana, Missouri, Maine and Oklahoma. Maine, since then, has. Oklahoma, as Kinsa forecasted, has become one of the country's hot spots and remains a location of concern for Singh.
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