Kevin Carmichael: 3 things the Bank of Canada subtly told us this week

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Kevin Carmichael: 3 things the Bank of Canada subtly told us this week
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ICYMI - Kevin Carmichael: 3 things the Bank of Canada subtly told us this week

at the finance committee was nearly 900 words, but there was nothing on the Statistics Canada report published six days earlier that said employers added 150,000 jobs in January, a stunning number that shows the economy has more momentum than the central bank and other forecasters realized. is notoriously volatile and Statistics Canada itself advises against making too much of one report.

Macklem took over as governor in June 2020, and his predecessor had already dropped the benchmark rate to 0.25 per cent, which is about as low as the Bank of Canada thinks it can go without messing up the financial system. The emphasis on the conditionality of the Bank of Canada’s intention to pause was a subtle reminder that outsized hiring and an unemployment rate near a record low are out of step with a forecast that has the economy stalling over the first part of 2022. Interest rate increases are still on the table.There’s an interesting debate taking place about whether central banks’ cherished inflation target of two per cent is realistic in a post-pandemic world.

According to Beaudry, inflation is largely determined by two things: companies’ cost pressures and their expectations of where prices are headed. Companies tend to adjust prices more frequently when inflation is high to keep higher prices from collapsing their margins. It’s fairly easy to do this without hurting sales because all companies are doing the same thing, so higher input costs are swiftly passed on to customers.

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