July 4 will be a do-or-die moment for California as coronavirus rages

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July 4 will be a do-or-die moment for California as coronavirus rages
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With coronavirus cases surging in California, the holiday weekend is a crucial test for whether residents can reduce risky behavior.

Unlike the first surge of coronavirus cases in California, a second wave of cases is spread across the state, leaving medical providers frustrated and on edge.Public health officials expected the reopenings to push up the number of coronavirus cases — but not this much.

Robert Kim-Farley, a medical epidemiologist and infectious-diseases expert at the UCLA Fielding School of Public Health, said the only way to figure out how to open is to do it gradually and dial things back if the disease spreads so fast it might overwhelm hospitals later. And that’s what’s happening now.Advertisement

Dr. Otto Yang, a professor of medicine and the associate chief of infectious diseases at the David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, said he thought L.A. County reopened too quickly. “A lot of the things that really work to reduce transmission — like contact tracing and even masks — depend on your starting at a low [disease] control level,” Yang said. “It’s back to the fire analogy: If the fire isn’t down to just smoldering embers — if there’s still active pockets of fire — then backing off will let stuff flare up very quickly.”. “We’re still getting some very sick patients, but we’re also seeing more young people that have milder cases,” Yang said.

Based on what patients are telling medical staff, the younger people say they suspect the virus was acquired by “going out and socializing more.” He added, “It does seem like it’s either family gatherings or social activities.”Yang said the protests against the death of George Floyd in police custody do not seem be a particularly big factor in the spread of disease.

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