You can see why Beijing might believe NATO countries are too weak and irresolute to fight, and it’s stolen enough technology to tackle the U.S. Navy
So long ago it was chic to downplay concerns about Soviet not Chinese Communism, a book The Grand Strategy of the Soviet Union said the U.S.S.R. was especially dangerous because, like Wilhelmine Germany, it combined short-term optimism with long-term pessimism.
In 1960 Khrushchev had actually been optimistic about a peaceful victory over capitalism in terminal decline. But by the late 1970s it was increasingly clear even to the aging Stalinists in the Kremlin that they were as strong as they would ever be, their efforts to deliver consumer abundance were failing, morale was falling and it was now or never.
Speaking of which, look at China now. Everybody’s convinced the West is falling apart because we’re too decadent, too uptight, too capitalist, too socialist or something. Including their Politburo. Now here’s the bad part. Which you thought that already was. The Chinese leadership has every reason to be pessimistic about the long run. Their brittle dictatorship faces serious challenges from Hong Kong protests and Taiwan’s example. Their environment is hideously befouled ; their economy a house of cards; their crowded cities unsafe including medically. And down the road they will be poor and old. No, really.
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