John Ivison: Trudeau itching for a fight if Jason Kenney overturns pledge to cap oilsands emissions

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John Ivison: Trudeau itching for a fight if Jason Kenney overturns pledge to cap oilsands emissions
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Sources suggest the Trudeau government is actively considering the idea of blocking the expansion of the Trans Mountain pipeline, which the federal government owns

Jason Kenney was recently elected premier of Alberta after campaigning against Justin Trudeau’s federal Liberals, rather than Rachel Notley’s provincial NDP., if Kenney’s Alberta government overturns a pledge by its predecessor to cap carbon emissions from the oilsands at 100 megatons a year.

Even Finance Minister Bill Morneau has said the idea that the Liberals do not want to build TMX is “an absurd proposition”. Trudeau indicated the shape of things to come in a speech Thursday, where he lambasted federal and provincial Conservatives for “denying climate change is real,” while spending taxpayers’ money to fight Ottawa in court over the imposition of the federal carbon tax backstop. Trudeau said the move was “short-sighted, irresponsible and Canadians deserve better”.

We will get a better idea of how peaceable or otherwise Kenney is prepared to be when he appears before the Senate transport committee, which is traveling to Edmonton next Tuesday for hearings into C48, the oil tanker ban legislation. Notley testified before the same committee earlier this month and urged the bill be “tossed into the garbage”. Kenney is unlikely to be any more complimentary.

For another, the move would send many Albertans into a state of apoplexy. While Trudeau may feel he has nothing to lose with voters in the province, does he really want to poke the bear of Western alienation and perhaps spark a national unity crisis? Then there is the reaction in the rest of Canada. An Ipsos poll last year suggested 56 per cent of respondents across the country support the TMX expansion, with a clear majority backing it even in B.C.

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