Is President JoeBiden the inevitable 2024 Democratic nominee?
Democratic strategists told the Washington Examiner there was no rush for Biden to make a decision on a reelection campaign, even at age 80, especially in response to former President Donald Trump's announcement last month. “Sometime next year is fine either way for an incumbent president,” one said."A decision by early March is completely appropriate and in line with most modern incumbents,” Aggressive Progressive podcast host Christopher Hahn told the Washington Examiner’s Naomi Lim.
Gov. Gavin Newsom had positioned himself as his party’s alternative to Gov. Ron DeSantis , the main GOP center of gravity opposite Trump. Newsom's machinations were seen as a sort of shadow campaign for the 2024 Democratic presidential nomination, even as he continually implied otherwise. Democrats don’t have a good experience with primary challenges against sitting presidents. It last worked when Eugene McCarthy nudged aside former President Lyndon B. Johnson after the 1968 New Hampshire primary, leading to former Vice President Hubert Humphrey becoming the nominee. Republican Richard Nixon, left for dead after a narrow loss eight years earlier, won the general election.
Republicans don’t have a much better history with overcoming primary challenges to incumbent presidents, dating back to Theodore Roosevelt’s defection against William Howard Taft in 1912. Gerald Ford lost in 1976 after a strong primary challenge from Reagan. George H.W. Bush did the same after a more modestly successful bid by Pat Buchanan.
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