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In November, Beijing announced a $1.4 trillion package to ease local government financing pressures and support sluggish growth, but it stopped short of introducing direct economic stimulus.
For context, China's monetary policy was"moderately loose" last time from 2008 to 2010 to help the economy recover from the global financial crisis. And now, here we are again. As for timing, it could happen as soon as the Central Economic Work Conference, where top policymakers typically review the year’s economic performance, assess policies, and set priorities for the year ahead.If the government succeeds in boosting the economy with the new measure, it could increase demand for energy resources, including oil and other commodities such as metals, which could drive up prices., which could dampen the impact of the new stimulus package.
Who knows, maybe Chinese stocks will outperform the S&P 500 next year, as they seem to have more upside potential given their current valuations. But, of course, the reality could be different.
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