Ireland’s incumbent parties look likely to hang on to power after a fractured election

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Ireland’s incumbent parties look likely to hang on to power after a fractured election
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Cost of living and immigration were dominant topics in the campaign, which may have bucked the global trend of incumbents ousted by voters following years of instability

Sinn Fein president Mary Lou McDonald celebrates with supporters after arriving at the count at the Royal Dublin Society in Dublin, Saturday, Nov. 30, 2024.Ireland’s two long-dominant center-right parties looked likely to form a new government as results came in from a fractured national election, though with a reduced vote share and complex coalition negotiations ahead.

Outgoing Prime Minister Simon Harris of Fine Gael, Fianna Fail leader Micheál Martin and Sinn Fein leader Mary Lou McDonald all won reelection to their parliamentary seats in results announced Saturday. Partial results from Friday’s election showed electors spreading their votes widely among the big three, several smaller parties and an assortment of independent candidates, and any coalition will likely involve smaller parties or independents.

The outgoing government was led by the two parties that have dominated Irish politics for the past century. Fine Gael and Fianna Fail have similar policies, but are longtime rivals with origins on opposing sides of Ireland’s 1920s civil war. After the 2020 election ended in a virtual dead heat, they formed a coalition.

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