Texas may have a long road ahead.
. This week, the researchers were asked to predict the number of confirmed cases by May 10. The expert consensus put the most probable range between 1.3 million and 1.45 million cases. In a new question, the experts were asked to forecast out to September and predict how many states and territories would report more new COVID-19 cases in that month than they did in June. Questions like this require two separate predictions, with one largely conditional on the other.
. In the most recent seven-day period for which the state is reporting data — April 30 through May 6 — the average daily new case count is 1,053. The panel of experts were asked to forecast the average number of new daily cases in Texas during the week ending on June 13.
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