If People Are Staying Home, Why Is Coronavirus Still Spreading?

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If People Are Staying Home, Why Is Coronavirus Still Spreading?
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Most of the U.S. has been under stay-at-home orders for the last two months, but COVID-19 cases continue to grow by 2 to 4 percent each day

. Indiana, Kansas and Nebraska all eased restrictions on Monday despite spiking numbers, along with Iowa, Minnesota, Tennessee and Texas.

And while the White House was able to announce in mid-April that the projected number of deaths had decreased from 100,000 to 60,000 by the end of August, those estimates have now gone back up, andAnother issue is the messaging — when social distancing was first emphasized in mid-March as a way to “flatten the curve” and limit the spread of COVID-19, it wasn’t a way to eliminate the virus completely, as people may have believed.

What social distancing actually does is slow down virus transmission to a level that is manageable for hospital workers and enables them to have enough hospital beds, masks and equipment to properly treat COVID-19 patients. While the virus will eventually slow down in areas that are adhering to social distancing and other safety precautions, “there will be some places where it’s still circulating, so it never really leaves,” Dr. Robert Norton, a professor of public health at Auburn University and member of several coronavirus task forces,Unfortunately, the virus will likely continue to persist until a vaccine is ready, in about 12 to 18 months at the earliest.

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