Idalia is expected to strengthen even further this week, over the warm Gulf waters, and become a Category 3 hurricane by midweek.
is on the verge of becoming a hurricane and is located near the western tip of Cuba. This system should move slowly northward today. A change in the upper level steering flow pattern should allow a faster north or north-northeastward forward speed on Tuesday and Wednesday.We are still expecting a Florida landfall generally on Wednesday. Most of the models suggest that the center will come ashore somewhere between Carabelle and Clearwater, FL.
The most vulnerable places to this system based on the current forecast will be from Apalachicola eastward, especially along the Forgotten Coast, the Big Bend Region, and south to Tampa. The eastern Panhandle and the upper Florida Peninsula may experience significant wind and surge issues .For the Mobile/Pensacola DMA , if the center comes ashore well to our east as the models suggest, our impacts would be. We would be on the drier side of the system with offshore winds.
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