How hedge funds plan to trade the second half of 2023

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How hedge funds plan to trade the second half of 2023
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For hedge funds, the second half of 2023 is all about pouncing on the ways in which inflation, aggressive rate hikes and decarbonisation are shaping the economy.

Major central banks have collectively raised rates by more than 3,750 basis points since September 2021, and while the pace has eased, the world economy has yet to feel the full effect.

* Key trade: Long so-called "busted" convertible bonds, or hybrid securities where the stock trades below its option conversion price. At the time, these companies sporting high equity valuations and low bond coupons issued low to no coupon convertible bonds. Byron Gill, managing partner and portfolio manager at Indus Capital Partners, sees opportunities in Japanese companies benefiting from business-to-business inflation, where one firm passes on rising costs to another.

Andrea Seminara, founder and CIO at Redhedge Asset Management, believes bond markets underestimate how big a player the European Central Bank remains.The ECB is winding down its bond holdings but remains a big holder of euro area bonds. Seminara favored long positions in investment grade bonds and shorting high yield ones via the iTraxx Europe and iTraxx crossover indices.* Long and short stock positions on underfollowed securities* Trade idea: short weak entrants in the electric vehicle industry

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