Here's why experts say Canada isn't headed for a recession

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Here's why experts say Canada isn't headed for a recession
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With inflation reaching astronomical levels, some Canadians may be concerned that rising costs will lead to a decline in economic activity and eventually trigger a recession. Experts, however, say this is unlikely to happen anytime soon.

. However, an important question that remains to be answered is whether rapidly increasing interest rates will cause economic growth to slow down so much that it becomes negative, possibly triggering a recession, Macdonald said. According to Veall, this is unlikely to be the case.

But if inflation begins to drop while economic activity continues to grow, this will likely help calm any nerves that might surround the possibility of being hit by a recession, said Marple. “Odds are that we will not have a recession … within the next 18 months,” Veall said. “But you can’t dismiss the possibility.”For those who may be concerned about weathering a potential recession in the months or years to come, Veall recommends being more cautious with personal finances and carefully considering whether major purchases can be afforded if a person were to lose their job, for example.

“This is one of the dangers of a recession, is that it locks in lower real wages as a result of this inflationary surge,” Macdonald said. “Now's the time to ask for better conditions [and] better wages. Lock those in now, prior to the risk of another recession.”

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